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美国最近的四次经济衰退中有三次都源于不可预见的金融市场冲击。很有可能,下一次经济衰退也会是这样:一些潜在缺陷的曝光将引发投资削减,而政府将无法采取反周期财政政策。 原标题:What Will Cause the Next US Recession? 过去40多年,美国经济经历了四次衰退。在这四次衰退中,只有1979 - 1982年的长期低迷是由常见原因导致的。美国联邦储备委员会(FED)认为通胀过高,因此进行一连串加息而打击了经济。这样一来,工人降低了他们对加薪的要求,公司也削减了原定涨价幅度。 Over the past 40 years, the US economy has experienced four recessions. Among the four, only the extended downturn of 1979-1982 had a conventional cause. The US Federal Reserve thought that inflation was too high, so it hit the economy on the head with the
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