主要观点总结
中国著名经济学家指出，随着中国经济进入新的发展阶段，必须摒弃对经济过于简化的假设。中国经济的转型引发持续争论，关于制造业和服务业哪个应优先发展存在争议。然而，该经济学家认为制造业和服务业并非相互排斥，过于侧重一方不利于经济发展。目前中国已经迈入后工业化阶段，经济结构调整势在必行。避免四种二元对立思维对于适应后工业化社会至关重要：制造业与服务业的对立、生产与消费的对立、线上与线下的对立以及高端与低端服务的对立。科技进步不断改变服务领域的格局，同时也提高了‘低端’产业的潜力。
关键观点总结
关键观点1: 中国经济进入新阶段引发对发展路径和目标的不同看法。
人们就制造业和服务业哪个更重要展开争论，地方政府设定制造业在GDP中的比例目标。
关键观点2: 中国经济需要适应后工业化社会的需求。
第三产业占GDP的比重已经超过一半，经济结构调整势在必行。
关键观点3: 避免四种二元对立思维对于适应后工业化社会至关重要。
这四种对立思维包括：制造业与服务业、生产与消费、线上与线下以及高端与低端服务的对立。科技进步不断改变服务领域的格局，提高了‘低端’产业的潜力。
文章预览
Industry and policymakers must do away with overly simplistic assumptions about the economy as China enters a new stage of development, writes a leading Chinese economist. China’s economy is at a critical juncture, sparking ongoing debates in academia about the optimal paths and goals for this transition. A key question is whether China should prioritize development of the manufacturing or services sector. Some local governments have even set targets for how much of their GDP output will stem from manufacturing, effectively pitting manufacturing against services. However, in my view, manufacturing and services are not mutually exclusive. People who deem it so are not only making a mistake in their economic analysis — they are also failing to grasp what is needed for the next step in China’s economic development. China’s per capita GDP is transitioning from that of a middle-income country to a high-income country. This necessarily requires changes to the country’s economic str
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